category: emerging markets

Emerging Markets: 101

Even the Material Girl is Getting Excited about Emerging Markets

 

Emerging Markets.

This is a term tossed around by news commentators and now, even Madonna, who is making her own foray into the world of emerging markets. She is opening a fitness line in multiple emerging market countries including Argentina, Brazil and Russia called:  Hard Candy Fitness Global Gyms.

But what exactly are the emerging markets and why are people so excited about them? Let us help you out here.

 

First question- What are the Emerging Markets?

Emerging markets are the nations around the world who are experiencing incredible growth.

Who Are these Emerging Market Nations? China?

 

China is one—and an important one. But, it’s certainly not the only one. There are 28 emerging markets around the world.

What are some of the other Emerging Market Nations?

 

Examples include: Brazil, South Africa, Turkey, Thailand, Egypt, Russia, Peru and Pakistan.

Why Do People Like Them?

 

Growth: Their growth rate is higher. Growth rates for Emerging Market economies average around 5.8%, nearly quadruple that of the developed world, 1.6%.

GDP: And with growth levels that are so high, they will begin producing more of the world’s “stuff” or global gross domestic product (GDP). By 2017, Emerging Markets are predicted to account for 50% of world GDP.  Their consumption today is already 30% of global consumption!

Deficits: On top of all of this, their governments are young and are not burdened with the deficits that the developed markets are saddled with. Emerging market fiscal debt levels are lower than developed markets. For that reason (and others) their credit quality has been improving. The U.S., Europe and Japan all have very high debt levels that, unaddressed, will ultimately act to slow growth in those nations.

Are these the Reasons Why People Invest in Emerging Markets?

 

Yes, the reasons above are all considered good “fundamental” reasons to invest.

In addition, people expect more money to flow into Emerging Market economies, as research shows that pension funds are under-allocated to the asset class. Translation? In the future, pension funds will need to make future investments into emerging markets, pushing up the price.

Seems too good to be true? Take heed – for investing in emerging nations is far from a ‘sure thing’. These economies can be very volatile and risky.

 

How Do People Take Advantage of these Growth Trends?

 

Many people believe these regions are ripe for investment. What type of investment? All kinds.

You can move to one of these regions and take part in the growth first hand.

Your company can begin selling goods to people in these growing economies as they develop and have more money to spend.

And if you are not interested in either of those options- you can simply invest in their stock and bond markets from firm developed-market soil. Here is a link from Seeking Alpha on different options for emerging market ETF investing: Broad Emerging Market ETFs.

Related Articles: What is an ETF?,  Forbes Emerging Markets – a great source on emerging markets.

The BRICS: 101

 

It is likely that many of you have lived in a brick house at some point in your life -especially if you hail from the east coast. However the financial term BRIC refers to something slightly different.

 

What are BRICs?

BRIC is the financial term that refers to the economies of Brazil, Russia, India and China.

 

Clever.  Who Coined That?

Goldman Sachs is cited for coining the term. Why bother grouping these counties together?  Goldman research concluded that at the current rate these countries are growing, they will eclipse the world’s largest economies by 2050. Please note, China is already the world’s second largest economy. It edged out Japan for the number two slot and currently is only behind the U.S.

 

A World Takeover! How Exciting.

What’s the rationale behind this explosive growth?

It is simple- it’s all about people and land. Brazil, Russia, India and China account for 25% of the world’s land and 40% of the population. Thus, they have the raw materials at their disposal.

Of the four, Brazil and Russia will likely be the world suppliers of natural resources and commodities. India and China will be the world suppliers of goods and services.

These countries should also begin to develop a middle class over the coming years, which will add to prosperity and growth.

 

Will they Form a Union – Like the E.U.?

Let’s hope not. The E.U. isn’t working so well right now. Further, it doesn’t look like these countries are attempting to formalize a union. However, they did have their first official BRIC summit in Russia in 2009.

It was during that same time frame that Brazil made their first contribution to the IMF (International Monetary Fund). That is important, because up until that point they had only been the recipients of funds from the IMF.

 

Good Tid-Bits of Information on the BRICS

All of these countries are considered to be “emerging markets”, which typically mean high risk and high returns– think of up and down 50% in a year.

Brazil, while its growth rate is not as high as other BRICs, enjoys no political or border enemies and a full democracy- very unique among the emerging markets. It will also host the 2014 World Cup and the Olympics in 2016.

China is known for its huge exports and massive foreign reserves (of mostly U.S. Treasuries). Some argue this is the most powerful of the emerging market nations and the BRICS. As David Rothkph put it in his book Foreign Policy, “Without China, the BRICs are just the BRI, a bland, soft cheese that is primarily known for the wine that goes with it.” But China’s population will begin to decline in the next few decades—currently they are battling potential inflation.

 

Life Outside of the BRICs?

Are the BRICs the only emerging markets to consider?

No, there are other up and coming markets out there. However, the less developed the market, the more volatile performance tends to be. A BusinessWeek article entitled, Emerging Markets: Beyond the Big Four, does a nice job describing what emerging market economies are out there beyond the BRICs and details some ETF’s that allow you get exposure to these markets.

 

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